Mapping geographical inequalities in oral rehydration therapy coverage in low-income and middle-income countries, 2000–17 (2023)

Abstract

Background: Oral rehydration solution (ORS) is a form of oral rehydration therapy (ORT) for diarrhoea that has the potential to drastically reduce child mortality; yet, according to UNICEF estimates, less than half of children younger than 5 years with diarrhoea in low-income and middle-income countries (LMICs) received ORS in 2016. A variety of recommended home fluids (RHF) exist as alternative forms of ORT; however, it is unclear whether RHF prevent child mortality. Previous studies have shown considerable variation between countries in ORS and RHF use, but subnational variation is unknown. This study aims to produce high-resolution geospatial estimates of relative and absolute coverage of ORS, RHF, and ORT (use of either ORS or RHF) in LMICs. Methods: We used a Bayesian geostatistical model including 15 spatial covariates and data from 385 household surveys across 94 LMICs to estimate annual proportions of children younger than 5 years of age with diarrhoea who received ORS or RHF (or both) on continuous continent-wide surfaces in 2000–17, and aggregated results to policy-relevant administrative units. Additionally, we analysed geographical inequality in coverage across administrative units and estimated the number of diarrhoeal deaths averted by increased coverage over the study period. Uncertainty in the mean coverage estimates was calculated by taking 250 draws from the posterior joint distribution of the model and creating uncertainty intervals (UIs) with the 2·5th and 97·5th percentiles of those 250 draws. Findings: While ORS use among children with diarrhoea increased in some countries from 2000 to 2017, coverage remained below 50% in the majority (62·6%; 12 417 of 19 823) of second administrative-level units and an estimated 6 519 000 children (95% UI 5 254 000–7 733 000) with diarrhoea were not treated with any form of ORT in 2017. Increases in ORS use corresponded with declines in RHF in many locations, resulting in relatively constant overall ORT coverage from 2000 to 2017. Although ORS was uniformly distributed subnationally in some countries, within-country geographical inequalities persisted in others; 11 countries had at least a 50% difference in one of their units compared with the country mean. Increases in ORS use over time were correlated with declines in RHF use and in diarrhoeal mortality in many locations, and an estimated 52 230 diarrhoeal deaths (36 910–68 860) were averted by scaling up of ORS coverage between 2000 and 2017. Finally, we identified key subnational areas in Colombia, Nigeria, and Sudan as examples of where diarrhoeal mortality remains higher than average, while ORS coverage remains lower than average. Interpretation: To our knowledge, this study is the first to produce and map subnational estimates of ORS, RHF, and ORT coverage and attributable child diarrhoeal deaths across LMICs from 2000 to 2017, allowing for tracking progress over time. Our novel results, combined with detailed subnational estimates of diarrhoeal morbidity and mortality, can support subnational needs assessments aimed at furthering policy makers' understanding of within-country disparities. Over 50 years after the discovery that led to this simple, cheap, and life-saving therapy, large gains in reducing mortality could still be made by reducing geographical inequalities in ORS coverage. Funding: Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)e1038-e1060
JournalThe Lancet Global Health
Volume8
Issue number8
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 08-2020

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  • Medicine(all)

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Wiens, K. E., Lindstedt, P. A., Blacker, B. F., Johnson, K. B., Baumann, M. M., Schaeffer, L. E., Abbastabar, H., Abd-Allah, F., Abdelalim, A., Abdollahpour, I., Abegaz, K. H., Abejie, A. N., Abreu, L. G., Abrigo, M. R. M., Abualhasan, A., Accrombessi, M. M. K., Acharya, D., Adabi, M., Adamu, A. A., ... Reiner, R. C. (2020). Mapping geographical inequalities in oral rehydration therapy coverage in low-income and middle-income countries, 2000–17. The Lancet Global Health, 8(8), e1038-e1060. https://doi.org/10.1016/S2214-109X(20)30230-8

Wiens, Kirsten E. ; Lindstedt, Paulina A. ; Blacker, Brigette F. et al. / Mapping geographical inequalities in oral rehydration therapy coverage in low-income and middle-income countries, 2000–17. In: The Lancet Global Health. 2020 ; Vol. 8, No. 8. pp. e1038-e1060.

@article{a83bf2946d1343ae842bbe97ebdacf8a,

title = "Mapping geographical inequalities in oral rehydration therapy coverage in low-income and middle-income countries, 2000–17",

abstract = "Background: Oral rehydration solution (ORS) is a form of oral rehydration therapy (ORT) for diarrhoea that has the potential to drastically reduce child mortality; yet, according to UNICEF estimates, less than half of children younger than 5 years with diarrhoea in low-income and middle-income countries (LMICs) received ORS in 2016. A variety of recommended home fluids (RHF) exist as alternative forms of ORT; however, it is unclear whether RHF prevent child mortality. Previous studies have shown considerable variation between countries in ORS and RHF use, but subnational variation is unknown. This study aims to produce high-resolution geospatial estimates of relative and absolute coverage of ORS, RHF, and ORT (use of either ORS or RHF) in LMICs. Methods: We used a Bayesian geostatistical model including 15 spatial covariates and data from 385 household surveys across 94 LMICs to estimate annual proportions of children younger than 5 years of age with diarrhoea who received ORS or RHF (or both) on continuous continent-wide surfaces in 2000–17, and aggregated results to policy-relevant administrative units. Additionally, we analysed geographical inequality in coverage across administrative units and estimated the number of diarrhoeal deaths averted by increased coverage over the study period. Uncertainty in the mean coverage estimates was calculated by taking 250 draws from the posterior joint distribution of the model and creating uncertainty intervals (UIs) with the 2·5th and 97·5th percentiles of those 250 draws. Findings: While ORS use among children with diarrhoea increased in some countries from 2000 to 2017, coverage remained below 50% in the majority (62·6%; 12 417 of 19 823) of second administrative-level units and an estimated 6 519 000 children (95% UI 5 254 000–7 733 000) with diarrhoea were not treated with any form of ORT in 2017. Increases in ORS use corresponded with declines in RHF in many locations, resulting in relatively constant overall ORT coverage from 2000 to 2017. Although ORS was uniformly distributed subnationally in some countries, within-country geographical inequalities persisted in others; 11 countries had at least a 50% difference in one of their units compared with the country mean. Increases in ORS use over time were correlated with declines in RHF use and in diarrhoeal mortality in many locations, and an estimated 52 230 diarrhoeal deaths (36 910–68 860) were averted by scaling up of ORS coverage between 2000 and 2017. Finally, we identified key subnational areas in Colombia, Nigeria, and Sudan as examples of where diarrhoeal mortality remains higher than average, while ORS coverage remains lower than average. Interpretation: To our knowledge, this study is the first to produce and map subnational estimates of ORS, RHF, and ORT coverage and attributable child diarrhoeal deaths across LMICs from 2000 to 2017, allowing for tracking progress over time. Our novel results, combined with detailed subnational estimates of diarrhoeal morbidity and mortality, can support subnational needs assessments aimed at furthering policy makers' understanding of within-country disparities. Over 50 years after the discovery that led to this simple, cheap, and life-saving therapy, large gains in reducing mortality could still be made by reducing geographical inequalities in ORS coverage. Funding: Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation.",

author = "Wiens, {Kirsten E.} and Lindstedt, {Paulina A.} and Blacker, {Brigette F.} and Johnson, {Kimberly B.} and Baumann, {Mathew M.} and Schaeffer, {Lauren E.} and Hedayat Abbastabar and Foad Abd-Allah and Ahmed Abdelalim and Ibrahim Abdollahpour and Abegaz, {Kedir Hussein} and Abejie, {Ayenew Negesse} and Abreu, {Lucas Guimar{\~a}es} and Abrigo, {Michael R.M.} and Ahmed Abualhasan and Accrombessi, {Manfred Mario Kokou} and Dilaram Acharya and Maryam Adabi and Adamu, {Abdu A.} and Adebayo, {Oladimeji M.} and Adedoyin, {Rufus Adesoji} and Victor Adekanmbi and Adetokunboh, {Olatunji O.} and Adhena, {Beyene Meressa} and Mohsen Afarideh and Sohail Ahmad and Keivan Ahmadi and Ahmed, {Anwar E.} and Ahmed, {Muktar Beshir} and Rushdia Ahmed and Akalu, {Temesgen Yihunie} and Fares Alahdab and Ziyad Al-Aly and Noore Alam and Samiah Alam and Alamene, {Genet Melak} and Alanzi, {Turki M.} and Alcalde-Rabanal, {Jacqueline Elizabeth} and Ali, {Beriwan Abdulqadir} and Mehran Alijanzadeh and Vahid 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Senthilkumar Balakrishnan and Bali, {Ayele Geleto} and Maciej Banach and Banoub, {Joseph Adel Mattar} and Aleksandra Barac and B{\"a}rnighausen, {Till Winfried} and Huda Basaleem and Sanjay Basu and Bay, {Vo Dinh} and Mohsen Bayati and Estifanos Baye and Neeraj Bedi and Beheshti, {Mahya Mahya Beheshti} and Masoud Behzadifar and Meysam Behzadifar and Bekele, {Bayu Begashaw} and Belayneh, {Yaschilal Muche} and Bell, {Michellr L.} and Bennett, {Derrick A.} and Berbada, {Dessalegn Ajema} and Bernstein, {Robert S.} and Bhat, {Anusha Ganapati} and Krittika Bhattacharyya and Suraj Bhattarai and Soumyadeep Bhaumik and Bhutta, {Zulfiqar A.} and Ali Bijani and Boris Bikbov and {Birihane IV}, {Binyam Minuye} and Biswas, {Raaj Kishore} and Somayeh Bohlouli and {Bojia I}, {Hunduma Amensisa Amensisa} and Soufiane Boufous and Brady, {Oliver J.} and Bragazzi, {Nicola Luigi} and Briko, {Andrey Nikolaevich} and Briko, {Nikolay Ivanovich} and Britton, {Gabrielle B.} and {Burugina Nagaraja}, Sharath and 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R.} and Mahasha, {Phetole Walter} and Mahotra, {Narayan B.} and Azeem Majeed and Reza Malekzadeh and Malta, {Deborah Carvalho} and Mamun, {Abdullah A.} and Navid Manafi and Manda, {Ana Laura} and Manohar, {Narendar Dawani Dawanu} and Mansournia, {Mohammad Ali} and Mapoma, {Chabila Christopher} and Maravilla, {Joemer C.} and Gabriel Martinez and Santi Martini and Martins-Melo, {Francisco Rogerl{\^a}ndio} and Anthony Masaka and Massenburg, {Benjamin Ballard} and Mathur, {Manu Raj} and Mayala, {Benjamin K.} and Mohsen Mazidi and Colm McAlinden and Meharie, {Birhanu Geta} and Mehndiratta, {Man Mohan} and Mehta, {Kala M.} and Mekonnen, {Tefera C.Chane} and Meles, {Gebrekiros Gebremichael} and Memiah, {Peter T.N.} and Memish, {Ziad A.} and Walter Mendoza and Menezes, {Ritesh G.} and Mereta, {Seid Tiku} and Meretoja, {Tuomo J.} and Tomislav Mestrovic and Bartosz Miazgowski and Mihretie, {Kebadnew Mulatu} and Miller, {Ted R.} and Mini, {G. K.} and Mirrakhimov, {Erkin M.} and Babak Moazen and Bahram Mohajer and Amjad Mohamadi-Bolbanabad and Mohammad, {Dara K.} and Mohammad, {Karzan Abdulmuhsin} and Yousef Mohammad and {Mohammad Gholi Mezerji}, Naser and Roghayeh Mohammadibakhsh and Noushin Mohammadifard and Mohammed, {Jemal Abdu} and Shafiu Mohammed and Farnam Mohebi and Mokdad, {Ali H.} and Mariam Molokhia and Lorenzo Monasta and Yoshan Moodley and Moore, {Catrin E.} and Ghobad Moradi and Masoud Moradi and Mohammad Moradi-Joo and Maziar Moradi-Lakeh and Paula Moraga and Linda Morales and {Moreno Vel{\'a}squez}, Ilais and Abbas Mosapour and Simin Mouodi and Mousavi, {Seyyed Meysam} and {Mozaffor I}, Miliva and Muchie, {Kindie Fentahun} and Mulaw, {Getahun Fentaw} and Munro, {Sandra B.} and Muriithi, {Moses K.} and Murray, {Christopher J.L.} and Murthy, {G. V.S.} and Musa, {Kamarul Imran} and Ghulam Mustafa and Saravanan Muthupandian and Nabhan, {Ashraf F.} and Mehdi Naderi and Nagarajan, {Ahamarshan Jayaraman} and Naidoo, {Kovin S.} and Gurudatta Naik and Farid Najafi and Vinay Nangia and Nansseu, {Jobert Richie} and Nascimento, {Bruno Ramos} and Javad Nazari and Ndwandwe, {Duduzile Edith} and Ionut Negoi and Netsere, {Henok Biresaw Netsere} and Ngunjiri, {Josephine W.} and Nguyen, {Cuong Tat} and Nguyen, {Huong Lan Thi} and Nguyen, {Trang Huyen} and Dabere Nigatu and Nigatu, {Solomon Gedlu} and Ningrum, {Dina Nur Anggraini} and Nnaji, {Chukwudi A.} and Marzieh Nojomi and Nong, {Vuong Minh} and Norheim, {Ole F.} and Noubiap, {Jean Jacques} and {Nouraei Motlagh}, Soraya and Bogdan Oancea and Ogah, {Okechukwu Samuel} and Ogbo, {Felix Akpojene} and Oh, {In Hwan} and Olagunju, {Andrew T.} and Olagunju, {Tinuke O.} and Olusanya, {Bolajoko Olubukunola} and Olusanya, {Jacob Olusegun} and Onwujekwe, {Obinna E.} and Eyal Oren and Ortega-Altamirano, {Doris V.V.} and Osayomwanbo Osarenotor and Osei, {Frank B.} and Owolabi, {Mayowa O.} and {P A}, Mahesh and Padubidri, {Jagadish Rao} and Smita Pakhale and Patel, {Sangram Kishor} and Paternina-Caicedo, {Angel J.} and Ashish Pathak and Patton, {George C.} and Deepak Paudel and Kebreab Paulos and Pepito, {Veincent Christian Filipino} and Alexandre Pereira and Norberto Perico and Aslam Pervaiz and Pescarini, {Julia Moreira} and Bakhtiar Piroozi and Meghdad Pirsaheb and Postma, {Maarten J.} and Hadi Pourjafar and Farshad Pourmalek and Akram Pourshams and Hossein Poustchi and Prada, {Sergio I.} and Narayan Prasad and Liliana Preotescu and Hedley Quintana and Navid Rabiee and Amir Radfar and Alireza Rafiei and Fakher Rahim and Afarin Rahimi-Movaghar and Vafa Rahimi-Movaghar and Rahman, {Mohammad Hifz Ur} and Rahman, {Muhammad Aziz} and SHAFIUR Rahman and Fatemeh Rajati and Rana, {Saleem Muhammad} and Ranabhat, {Chhabi Lal} and Davide Rasella and Rawaf, {David Laith} and Salman Rawaf and Lal Rawal and Rawasia, {Wasiq Faraz} and Vishnu Renjith and Renzaho, {Andre M.N.} and Serge Resnikoff and Reta, {Melese Abate} and Negar Rezaei and Rezai, {Mohammad sadegh} and Riahi, {Seyed Mohammad} and Ribeiro, {Ana Isabel} and Jennifer Rickard and Maria Rios-Blancas and Leonardo Roever and Luca Ronfani and Roro, {Elias Merdassa} and Ross, {Jennifer M.} and Enrico Rubagotti and Salvatore Rubino and Saad, {Anas M.} and Sabde, {Yogesh Damodar} and Siamak Sabour and Ehsan Sadeghi and Yahya Safari and Roya Safari-Faramani and Rajesh Sagar and Amirhossein Sahebkar and Sahraian, {Mohammad Ali} and Sajadi, {S. Mohammad} and Salahshoor, {Mohammad Reza} and Nasir Salam and Payman Salamati and Hosni Salem and {Salem I}, {Marwa R.Rashad} and Yahya Salimi and Hamideh Salimzadeh and Samy, {Abdallah M.} and Juan Sanabria and Santric-Milicevic, {Milena M.} and {Sao Jose}, {Bruno Piassi} and Saraswathy, {Sivan Yegnanarayana Iyer} and Kaushik Sarkar and Sarker, {Abdur Razzaque} and {Sarrafzadegan I}, Nizal and Benn Sartorius and Brijesh Sathian and Thirunavukkarasu Sathish and Monika Sawhney and Sonia Saxena and Schwebel, {David C.} and {Senbeta IV}, {Anbissa Muleta} and Subramanian Senthilkumaran and Sepanlou, {Sadaf G.} and Edson Serv{\'a}n-Mori and Hosein Shabaninejad and Azadeh Shafieesabet and Shaikh, {Masood Ali} and Shalash, {Ali S.} and Shallo, {Seifadin Ahmed} and Mehran Shams-Beyranvand and Shamsi, {Mohammad Bagher} and Morteza Shamsizadeh and Mohammed Shannawaz and Kiomars Sharafi and Hamid Sharifi and Shehata, {Hatem Samir} and Aziz Sheikh and Shetty, {B. Suresh Kumar} and Kenji Shibuya and Shiferaw, {Wondimeneh Shibabaw} and Shifti, {Desalegn Markos} and Mika Shigematsu and Shin, {Jae Il} and Rahman Shiri and Reza Shirkoohi and Soraya Siabani and Siddiqi, {Tariq Jamal} and Silva, {Diego Augusto Santos} and Ambrish Singh and Singh, {Jasvinder A.} and Singh, {Narinder Pal} and Virendra Singh and Sisay, {Malede Mequanent} and Eirini Skiadaresi and Sobhiyeh, {Mohammad Reza} and Anton Sokhan and Shahin Soltani and Ranjani Somayaji and Moslem Soofi and Sorrie, {Muluken Bekele} and Soyiri, {Ireneous N.} and Sreeramareddy, {Chandrashekhar T.} and Agus Sudaryanto and Sufiyan, {Mu'awiyyah Babale} and Suleria, {Hafiz Ansar Rasul} and Marufa Sultana and Sunguya, {Bruno Fokas} and Sykes, {Bryan L.} and Rafael Tabar{\'e}s-Seisdedos and Takahiro Tabuchi and Tadesse, {Degena Bahrey} and Tarigan, {Ingan Ukur} and Tasew, {Aberash Abay} and Tefera, {Yonatal Mesfin} and Tekle, {Merhawi Gebremedhin} and Temsah, {Mohamad Hani} and {Tesfay I}, {Berhe Etsay} and Tesfay, {Fisaha Haile Haile} and Belay Tessema and Tessema, {Zemenu Tadesse} and Thankappan, {Kavumpurathu Raman} and Nihal Thomas and Toma, {Alemayehu Toma} and Roman Topor-Madry and Tovani-Palone, {Marcos Roberto Roberto} and Eugenio Traini and Tran, {Bach Xuan} and Tran, {Khanh Bao} and Irfan Ullah and Bhaskaran Unnikrishnan and Usman, {Muhammad Shariq} and Uzochukwu, {Benjamin S.Chudi} and Valdez, {Pascual R.} and Santosh Varughese and Violante, {Francesco S.} and Sebastian Vollmer and W/hawariat, {Feleke Gebremeskel} and Yasir Waheed and Wallin, {Mitchell Taylor} and Yafeng Wang and Wang, {Yuan Pang} and Marcia Weaver and Weji, {Bedilu Girma} and Weldesamuel, {Girmay Teklay} and Welgan, {Catherine A.} and Andrea Werdecker and Ronny Westerman and Taweewat Wiangkham and Wiysonge, {Charles Shey} and Wolde, {Haileab Fekadu} and Wondafrash, {Dawit Zewdu} and Wonde, {Tewodros Eshete} and Worku, {Getasew Taddesse} and Wu, {Ai Min} and Gelin Xu and Ali Yadollahpour and {Yahyazadeh Jabbari}, {Seyed Hossein} and Tomohide Yamada and Hiroshi Yatsuya and Alex Yeshaneh and Yilgwan, {Christopher Sabo} and Yilma, {Mekdes Tigistu} and Paul Yip and Engida Yisma and Naohiro Yonemoto and Yoon, {Seok Jun} and Younis, {Mustafa Z.} and Mahmoud Yousefifard and Yousof, {Hebat Allah Salah A.} and Chuanhua Yu and Hasan Yusefzadeh and Siddhesh Zadey and Zoubida Zaidi and Zaman, {Sojib Bin} and Mohammad Zamani and Hamed Zandian and Zepro, {Nejimu Biza} and Zerfu, {Taddese Alemu} and Yunquan Zhang and Zhao, {Xiu Ju George} and Arash Ziapour and Sanjay Zodpey and Zuniga, {Yves Miel H.} and Hay, {Simon I.} and Reiner, {Robert C.}",

note = "Funding Information: This work was primarily supported by a grant from the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation (OPP1132415). L G Abreu has received support from Coordena{\c c}{\~a}o de Aperfei{\c c}oamento de Pessoal de N{\'i}vel Superior (Finance Code 001), Conselho Nacional de Desenvolvimento Cient{\'i}fico e Tecnol{\'o}gico and Funda{\c c}{\~a}o de Amparo {\`a} Pesquisa do Estado de Minas Gerais. O O Adetokunboh acknowledges the South African Department of Science and Innovation and the National Research Foundation. S M Aljunid acknowledges the Department of Health Policy and Management, Faculty of Public Health, Kuwait University and International Centre for Casemix and Clinical Coding, Faculty of Medicine, National University of Malaysia for the approval and support to participate in this research project. H T Atalay acknowledges Aksum University. M Ausloos and C Herteliu are partially supported by a grant of the Romanian National Authority for Scientific Research and Innovation, CNDS-UEFISCDI, project number PN-III-P4-ID-PCCF-2016-0084. P S Azzopardi was supported by an Australian National Health and Medical Research Council (NHMRC) early career fellowship. A Badawi is supported by the Public Health Agency of Canada. T W B{\"a}rnighausen was supported by the Alexander von Humboldt Foundation through the Alexander von Humboldt Professor award, funded by the German Federal Ministry of Education and Research; the EU; the Wellcome Trust; and from National Institute of Child Health and Human Development of National Institutes of Health (NIH; R01-HD084233), National Institute on Aging of NIH (P01-AG041710), National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases of NIH (R01-AI124389 and R01-AI112339), as well as Fogarty International Center of NIH (D43-TW009775). G B Britton is supported by Sistema Nacional de Investigaci{\'o}n (SNI) de la Secretar{\'i}a Nacional de Ciencia, Tecnolog{\'i}a e Innovaci{\'o}n (SENACYT) of Panam{\'a}. A Barac is funded by the Project of Ministry of Education, Science and Technology of the Republic of Serbia (number III45005). D A Bennett was supported by the National Institute for Health Research (NIHR) Oxford Biomedical Research Centre. The views expressed are those of the authors and not necessarily those of the National Health Service, the NIHR, or the UK Department of Health and Social Care. V M Costa acknowledges her grant (SFRH/BHD/110001/2015), received by Portuguese national funds through Funda{\c c}{\~a}o para a Ci{\^e}ncia e Tecnologia (FCT), IP, under the Norma Transit{\'o}ria DL57/2016/CP1334/CT0006. F Carvalho acknowledges UID/MULTI/04378/2019 and UID/QUI/50006/2019 support with funding from FCT/Minist{\'e}rio da Ci{\^e}ncia, Tecnologia e Ensino Superior through national funds. K Deribe is supported by a Wellcome Trust grant (number 201900/Z/16/Z) as part of his International Intermediate Fellowship. C Herteliu is partially supported by a grant co-funded by European Fund for Regional Development through the Operational Program for Competitiveness (project ID P_40_382). P Hoogar thanks Centre for Bio Cultural Studies, Directorate of Research, Manipal Academy of Higher Education, Manipal and Centre for Holistic Development and Research, Kalaghatgi-Karnataka. S M S Islam is funded by a Fellowship from National Heart Foundation of Australia and Deakin University. M Jakovljevic and the Serbian part of this GBD contribution was co-funded through grant OI175014 of the Ministry of Education Science and Technological Development of the Republic of Serbia. A P Kengne is supported by the South African Medical Research Council. Y J Kim's work was supported by the Research Management Centre, Xiamen University Malaysia, grants number XMUMRF/2018-C2/ITCM/0001. K Krishan is supported by a DST PURSE grant and UGC Center of Advanced Study awarded to the Department of Anthropology, Panjab University, Chandigarh, India. M Kumar acknowledges K43 TW010716-03. B Lacey acknowledges support from the NIHR Oxford Biomedical Research Centre and the British Heart Foundation Centre of Research Excellence, Oxford. P T N Memiah acknowledges the Council for the Development of Social Science Research in Africa. M Molokhia is supported by the NIHR Biomedical Research Center at Guy's and St Thomas' National Health Service Foundation Trust and King's College London. I Moreno Vel{\'a}squez is supported by the Sistema Nacional de Investigaci{\'o}n (SENACYT, Panam{\'a}). G C Patton is funded by an NHMRC Fellowship. A M Samy received a fellowship from the Egyptian Fulbright Mission programme. M M Santric-Milicevic acknowledges the support of the Ministry of Education, Science and Technological Development of the Republic of Serbia (contract number 175087). A Sheikh acknowledges the support of Health Data Research UK. M R Sobhiyeh acknowledges the Clinical Research Development Center of Imam Reza Hospital, Kermanshah University of Medical Sciences for their wise advice. R Tabar{\'e}s-Seisdedos was supported in part by grant PI17/00719 from Instituto de Salud Carlos III–FEDER. B Unnikrishnan acknowledges Manipal Academy of Higher Education, Manipal. M R Weaver was supported by the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation grant OPP1127433. C S Wiysonge was supported by the South African Medical Research Council. Editorial note: the Lancet Group takes a neutral position with respect to territorial claims in published maps and institutional affiliations. Funding Information: This work was primarily supported by a grant from the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation (OPP1132415). L G Abreu has received support from Coordena{\c c}{\~a}o de Aperfei{\c c}oamento de Pessoal de N{\'i}vel Superior (Finance Code 001), Conselho Nacional de Desenvolvimento Cient{\'i}fico e Tecnol{\'o}gico and Funda{\c c}{\~a}o de Amparo {\`a} Pesquisa do Estado de Minas Gerais. O O Adetokunboh acknowledges the South African Department of Science and Innovation and the National Research Foundation. S M Aljunid acknowledges the Department of Health Policy and Management, Faculty of Public Health, Kuwait University and International Centre for Casemix and Clinical Coding, Faculty of Medicine, National University of Malaysia for the approval and support to participate in this research project. H T Atalay acknowledges Aksum University. M Ausloos and C Herteliu are partially supported by a grant of the Romanian National Authority for Scientific Research and Innovation, CNDS-UEFISCDI, project number PN-III-P4-ID-PCCF-2016-0084. P S Azzopardi was supported by an Australian National Health and Medical Research Council (NHMRC) early career fellowship. A Badawi is supported by the Public Health Agency of Canada. T W B{\"a}rnighausen was supported by the Alexander von Humboldt Foundation through the Alexander von Humboldt Professor award, funded by the German Federal Ministry of Education and Research; the EU; the Wellcome Trust; and from National Institute of Child Health and Human Development of National Institutes of Health (NIH; R01-HD084233), National Institute on Aging of NIH (P01-AG041710), National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases of NIH (R01-AI124389 and R01-AI112339), as well as Fogarty International Center of NIH (D43-TW009775). G B Britton is supported by Sistema Nacional de Investigaci{\'o}n (SNI) de la Secretar{\'i}a Nacional de Ciencia, Tecnolog{\'i}a e Innovaci{\'o}n (SENACYT) of Panam{\'a}. A Barac is funded by the Project of Ministry of Education, Science and Technology of the Republic of Serbia (number III45005). D A Bennett was supported by the National Institute for Health Research (NIHR) Oxford Biomedical Research Centre. The views expressed are those of the authors and not necessarily those of the National Health Service, the NIHR, or the UK Department of Health and Social Care. V M Costa acknowledges her grant (SFRH/BHD/110001/2015), received by Portuguese national funds through Funda{\c c}{\~a}o para a Ci{\^e}ncia e Tecnologia (FCT), IP, under the Norma Transit{\'o}ria DL57/2016/CP1334/CT0006. F Carvalho acknowledges UID/MULTI/04378/2019 and UID/QUI/50006/2019 support with funding from FCT/Minist{\'e}rio da Ci{\^e}ncia, Tecnologia e Ensino Superior through national funds. K Deribe is supported by a Wellcome Trust grant (number 201900/Z/16/Z) as part of his International Intermediate Fellowship. C Herteliu is partially supported by a grant co-funded by European Fund for Regional Development through the Operational Program for Competitiveness (project ID P_40_382). P Hoogar thanks Centre for Bio Cultural Studies, Directorate of Research, Manipal Academy of Higher Education, Manipal and Centre for Holistic Development and Research, Kalaghatgi-Karnataka. S M S Islam is funded by a Fellowship from National Heart Foundation of Australia and Deakin University. M Jakovljevic and the Serbian part of this GBD contribution was co-funded through grant OI175014 of the Ministry of Education Science and Technological Development of the Republic of Serbia. A P Kengne is supported by the South African Medical Research Council. Y J Kim's work was supported by the Research Management Centre, Xiamen University Malaysia, grants number XMUMRF/2018-C2/ITCM/0001. K Krishan is supported by a DST PURSE grant and UGC Center of Advanced Study awarded to the Department of Anthropology, Panjab University, Chandigarh, India. M Kumar acknowledges K43 TW010716-03. B Lacey acknowledges support from the NIHR Oxford Biomedical Research Centre and the British Heart Foundation Centre of Research Excellence, Oxford. P T N Memiah acknowledges the Council for the Development of Social Science Research in Africa. M Molokhia is supported by the NIHR Biomedical Research Center at Guy's and St Thomas' National Health Service Foundation Trust and King's College London. I Moreno Vel{\'a}squez is supported by the Sistema Nacional de Investigaci{\'o}n (SENACYT, Panam{\'a}). G C Patton is funded by an NHMRC Fellowship. A M Samy received a fellowship from the Egyptian Fulbright Mission programme. M M Santric-Milicevic acknowledges the support of the Ministry of Education, Science and Technological Development of the Republic of Serbia (contract number 175087). A Sheikh acknowledges the support of Health Data Research UK. M R Sobhiyeh acknowledges the Clinical Research Development Center of Imam Reza Hospital, Kermanshah University of Medical Sciences for their wise advice. R Tabar{\'e}s-Seisdedos was supported in part by grant PI17/00719 from Instituto de Salud Carlos III–FEDER. B Unnikrishnan acknowledges Manipal Academy of Higher Education, Manipal. M R Weaver was supported by the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation grant OPP1127433. C S Wiysonge was supported by the South African Medical Research Council. Publisher Copyright: {\textcopyright} 2020 The Author(s). Published by Elsevier Ltd. This is an Open Access article under the CC BY 4.0 license",

year = "2020",

month = aug,

doi = "10.1016/S2214-109X(20)30230-8",

language = "English",

volume = "8",

pages = "e1038--e1060",

journal = "The Lancet Global Health",

issn = "2214-109X",

publisher = "Elsevier BV",

number = "8",

}

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Zerfu, TA, Zhang, Y, Zhao, XJG, Ziapour, A, Zodpey, S, Zuniga, YMH, Hay, SI & Reiner, RC 2020, 'Mapping geographical inequalities in oral rehydration therapy coverage in low-income and middle-income countries, 2000–17', The Lancet Global Health, vol. 8, no. 8, pp. e1038-e1060. https://doi.org/10.1016/S2214-109X(20)30230-8

Mapping geographical inequalities in oral rehydration therapy coverage in low-income and middle-income countries, 2000–17. / Wiens, Kirsten E.; Lindstedt, Paulina A.; Blacker, Brigette F. et al.

In: The Lancet Global Health, Vol. 8, No. 8, 08.2020, p. e1038-e1060.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

TY - JOUR

T1 - Mapping geographical inequalities in oral rehydration therapy coverage in low-income and middle-income countries, 2000–17

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AU - Abrigo, Michael R.M.

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(Video) "Global Health Disparities: Past, Present and Future" Raymond A. Smego, Jr. M.D.

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(Video) AfOx insaka

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AU - Ogbo, Felix Akpojene

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N1 - Funding Information:This work was primarily supported by a grant from the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation (OPP1132415). L G Abreu has received support from Coordenação de Aperfeiçoamento de Pessoal de Nível Superior (Finance Code 001), Conselho Nacional de Desenvolvimento Científico e Tecnológico and Fundação de Amparo à Pesquisa do Estado de Minas Gerais. O O Adetokunboh acknowledges the South African Department of Science and Innovation and the National Research Foundation. S M Aljunid acknowledges the Department of Health Policy and Management, Faculty of Public Health, Kuwait University and International Centre for Casemix and Clinical Coding, Faculty of Medicine, National University of Malaysia for the approval and support to participate in this research project. H T Atalay acknowledges Aksum University. M Ausloos and C Herteliu are partially supported by a grant of the Romanian National Authority for Scientific Research and Innovation, CNDS-UEFISCDI, project number PN-III-P4-ID-PCCF-2016-0084. P S Azzopardi was supported by an Australian National Health and Medical Research Council (NHMRC) early career fellowship. A Badawi is supported by the Public Health Agency of Canada. T W Bärnighausen was supported by the Alexander von Humboldt Foundation through the Alexander von Humboldt Professor award, funded by the German Federal Ministry of Education and Research; the EU; the Wellcome Trust; and from National Institute of Child Health and Human Development of National Institutes of Health (NIH; R01-HD084233), National Institute on Aging of NIH (P01-AG041710), National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases of NIH (R01-AI124389 and R01-AI112339), as well as Fogarty International Center of NIH (D43-TW009775). G B Britton is supported by Sistema Nacional de Investigación (SNI) de la Secretaría Nacional de Ciencia, Tecnología e Innovación (SENACYT) of Panamá. A Barac is funded by the Project of Ministry of Education, Science and Technology of the Republic of Serbia (number III45005). D A Bennett was supported by the National Institute for Health Research (NIHR) Oxford Biomedical Research Centre. The views expressed are those of the authors and not necessarily those of the National Health Service, the NIHR, or the UK Department of Health and Social Care. V M Costa acknowledges her grant (SFRH/BHD/110001/2015), received by Portuguese national funds through Fundação para a Ciência e Tecnologia (FCT), IP, under the Norma Transitória DL57/2016/CP1334/CT0006. F Carvalho acknowledges UID/MULTI/04378/2019 and UID/QUI/50006/2019 support with funding from FCT/Ministério da Ciência, Tecnologia e Ensino Superior through national funds. K Deribe is supported by a Wellcome Trust grant (number 201900/Z/16/Z) as part of his International Intermediate Fellowship. C Herteliu is partially supported by a grant co-funded by European Fund for Regional Development through the Operational Program for Competitiveness (project ID P_40_382). P Hoogar thanks Centre for Bio Cultural Studies, Directorate of Research, Manipal Academy of Higher Education, Manipal and Centre for Holistic Development and Research, Kalaghatgi-Karnataka. S M S Islam is funded by a Fellowship from National Heart Foundation of Australia and Deakin University. M Jakovljevic and the Serbian part of this GBD contribution was co-funded through grant OI175014 of the Ministry of Education Science and Technological Development of the Republic of Serbia. A P Kengne is supported by the South African Medical Research Council. Y J Kim's work was supported by the Research Management Centre, Xiamen University Malaysia, grants number XMUMRF/2018-C2/ITCM/0001. K Krishan is supported by a DST PURSE grant and UGC Center of Advanced Study awarded to the Department of Anthropology, Panjab University, Chandigarh, India. M Kumar acknowledges K43 TW010716-03. B Lacey acknowledges support from the NIHR Oxford Biomedical Research Centre and the British Heart Foundation Centre of Research Excellence, Oxford. P T N Memiah acknowledges the Council for the Development of Social Science Research in Africa. M Molokhia is supported by the NIHR Biomedical Research Center at Guy's and St Thomas' National Health Service Foundation Trust and King's College London. I Moreno Velásquez is supported by the Sistema Nacional de Investigación (SENACYT, Panamá). G C Patton is funded by an NHMRC Fellowship. A M Samy received a fellowship from the Egyptian Fulbright Mission programme. M M Santric-Milicevic acknowledges the support of the Ministry of Education, Science and Technological Development of the Republic of Serbia (contract number 175087). A Sheikh acknowledges the support of Health Data Research UK. M R Sobhiyeh acknowledges the Clinical Research Development Center of Imam Reza Hospital, Kermanshah University of Medical Sciences for their wise advice. R Tabarés-Seisdedos was supported in part by grant PI17/00719 from Instituto de Salud Carlos III–FEDER. B Unnikrishnan acknowledges Manipal Academy of Higher Education, Manipal. M R Weaver was supported by the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation grant OPP1127433. C S Wiysonge was supported by the South African Medical Research Council. Editorial note: the Lancet Group takes a neutral position with respect to territorial claims in published maps and institutional affiliations.Funding Information:This work was primarily supported by a grant from the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation (OPP1132415). L G Abreu has received support from Coordenação de Aperfeiçoamento de Pessoal de Nível Superior (Finance Code 001), Conselho Nacional de Desenvolvimento Científico e Tecnológico and Fundação de Amparo à Pesquisa do Estado de Minas Gerais. O O Adetokunboh acknowledges the South African Department of Science and Innovation and the National Research Foundation. S M Aljunid acknowledges the Department of Health Policy and Management, Faculty of Public Health, Kuwait University and International Centre for Casemix and Clinical Coding, Faculty of Medicine, National University of Malaysia for the approval and support to participate in this research project. H T Atalay acknowledges Aksum University. M Ausloos and C Herteliu are partially supported by a grant of the Romanian National Authority for Scientific Research and Innovation, CNDS-UEFISCDI, project number PN-III-P4-ID-PCCF-2016-0084. P S Azzopardi was supported by an Australian National Health and Medical Research Council (NHMRC) early career fellowship. A Badawi is supported by the Public Health Agency of Canada. T W Bärnighausen was supported by the Alexander von Humboldt Foundation through the Alexander von Humboldt Professor award, funded by the German Federal Ministry of Education and Research; the EU; the Wellcome Trust; and from National Institute of Child Health and Human Development of National Institutes of Health (NIH; R01-HD084233), National Institute on Aging of NIH (P01-AG041710), National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases of NIH (R01-AI124389 and R01-AI112339), as well as Fogarty International Center of NIH (D43-TW009775). G B Britton is supported by Sistema Nacional de Investigación (SNI) de la Secretaría Nacional de Ciencia, Tecnología e Innovación (SENACYT) of Panamá. A Barac is funded by the Project of Ministry of Education, Science and Technology of the Republic of Serbia (number III45005). D A Bennett was supported by the National Institute for Health Research (NIHR) Oxford Biomedical Research Centre. The views expressed are those of the authors and not necessarily those of the National Health Service, the NIHR, or the UK Department of Health and Social Care. V M Costa acknowledges her grant (SFRH/BHD/110001/2015), received by Portuguese national funds through Fundação para a Ciência e Tecnologia (FCT), IP, under the Norma Transitória DL57/2016/CP1334/CT0006. F Carvalho acknowledges UID/MULTI/04378/2019 and UID/QUI/50006/2019 support with funding from FCT/Ministério da Ciência, Tecnologia e Ensino Superior through national funds. K Deribe is supported by a Wellcome Trust grant (number 201900/Z/16/Z) as part of his International Intermediate Fellowship. C Herteliu is partially supported by a grant co-funded by European Fund for Regional Development through the Operational Program for Competitiveness (project ID P_40_382). P Hoogar thanks Centre for Bio Cultural Studies, Directorate of Research, Manipal Academy of Higher Education, Manipal and Centre for Holistic Development and Research, Kalaghatgi-Karnataka. S M S Islam is funded by a Fellowship from National Heart Foundation of Australia and Deakin University. M Jakovljevic and the Serbian part of this GBD contribution was co-funded through grant OI175014 of the Ministry of Education Science and Technological Development of the Republic of Serbia. A P Kengne is supported by the South African Medical Research Council. Y J Kim's work was supported by the Research Management Centre, Xiamen University Malaysia, grants number XMUMRF/2018-C2/ITCM/0001. K Krishan is supported by a DST PURSE grant and UGC Center of Advanced Study awarded to the Department of Anthropology, Panjab University, Chandigarh, India. M Kumar acknowledges K43 TW010716-03. B Lacey acknowledges support from the NIHR Oxford Biomedical Research Centre and the British Heart Foundation Centre of Research Excellence, Oxford. P T N Memiah acknowledges the Council for the Development of Social Science Research in Africa. M Molokhia is supported by the NIHR Biomedical Research Center at Guy's and St Thomas' National Health Service Foundation Trust and King's College London. I Moreno Velásquez is supported by the Sistema Nacional de Investigación (SENACYT, Panamá). G C Patton is funded by an NHMRC Fellowship. A M Samy received a fellowship from the Egyptian Fulbright Mission programme. M M Santric-Milicevic acknowledges the support of the Ministry of Education, Science and Technological Development of the Republic of Serbia (contract number 175087). A Sheikh acknowledges the support of Health Data Research UK. M R Sobhiyeh acknowledges the Clinical Research Development Center of Imam Reza Hospital, Kermanshah University of Medical Sciences for their wise advice. R Tabarés-Seisdedos was supported in part by grant PI17/00719 from Instituto de Salud Carlos III–FEDER. B Unnikrishnan acknowledges Manipal Academy of Higher Education, Manipal. M R Weaver was supported by the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation grant OPP1127433. C S Wiysonge was supported by the South African Medical Research Council. Publisher Copyright:© 2020 The Author(s). Published by Elsevier Ltd. This is an Open Access article under the CC BY 4.0 license

PY - 2020/8

Y1 - 2020/8

N2 - Background: Oral rehydration solution (ORS) is a form of oral rehydration therapy (ORT) for diarrhoea that has the potential to drastically reduce child mortality; yet, according to UNICEF estimates, less than half of children younger than 5 years with diarrhoea in low-income and middle-income countries (LMICs) received ORS in 2016. A variety of recommended home fluids (RHF) exist as alternative forms of ORT; however, it is unclear whether RHF prevent child mortality. Previous studies have shown considerable variation between countries in ORS and RHF use, but subnational variation is unknown. This study aims to produce high-resolution geospatial estimates of relative and absolute coverage of ORS, RHF, and ORT (use of either ORS or RHF) in LMICs. Methods: We used a Bayesian geostatistical model including 15 spatial covariates and data from 385 household surveys across 94 LMICs to estimate annual proportions of children younger than 5 years of age with diarrhoea who received ORS or RHF (or both) on continuous continent-wide surfaces in 2000–17, and aggregated results to policy-relevant administrative units. Additionally, we analysed geographical inequality in coverage across administrative units and estimated the number of diarrhoeal deaths averted by increased coverage over the study period. Uncertainty in the mean coverage estimates was calculated by taking 250 draws from the posterior joint distribution of the model and creating uncertainty intervals (UIs) with the 2·5th and 97·5th percentiles of those 250 draws. Findings: While ORS use among children with diarrhoea increased in some countries from 2000 to 2017, coverage remained below 50% in the majority (62·6%; 12 417 of 19 823) of second administrative-level units and an estimated 6 519 000 children (95% UI 5 254 000–7 733 000) with diarrhoea were not treated with any form of ORT in 2017. Increases in ORS use corresponded with declines in RHF in many locations, resulting in relatively constant overall ORT coverage from 2000 to 2017. Although ORS was uniformly distributed subnationally in some countries, within-country geographical inequalities persisted in others; 11 countries had at least a 50% difference in one of their units compared with the country mean. Increases in ORS use over time were correlated with declines in RHF use and in diarrhoeal mortality in many locations, and an estimated 52 230 diarrhoeal deaths (36 910–68 860) were averted by scaling up of ORS coverage between 2000 and 2017. Finally, we identified key subnational areas in Colombia, Nigeria, and Sudan as examples of where diarrhoeal mortality remains higher than average, while ORS coverage remains lower than average. Interpretation: To our knowledge, this study is the first to produce and map subnational estimates of ORS, RHF, and ORT coverage and attributable child diarrhoeal deaths across LMICs from 2000 to 2017, allowing for tracking progress over time. Our novel results, combined with detailed subnational estimates of diarrhoeal morbidity and mortality, can support subnational needs assessments aimed at furthering policy makers' understanding of within-country disparities. Over 50 years after the discovery that led to this simple, cheap, and life-saving therapy, large gains in reducing mortality could still be made by reducing geographical inequalities in ORS coverage. Funding: Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation.

AB - Background: Oral rehydration solution (ORS) is a form of oral rehydration therapy (ORT) for diarrhoea that has the potential to drastically reduce child mortality; yet, according to UNICEF estimates, less than half of children younger than 5 years with diarrhoea in low-income and middle-income countries (LMICs) received ORS in 2016. A variety of recommended home fluids (RHF) exist as alternative forms of ORT; however, it is unclear whether RHF prevent child mortality. Previous studies have shown considerable variation between countries in ORS and RHF use, but subnational variation is unknown. This study aims to produce high-resolution geospatial estimates of relative and absolute coverage of ORS, RHF, and ORT (use of either ORS or RHF) in LMICs. Methods: We used a Bayesian geostatistical model including 15 spatial covariates and data from 385 household surveys across 94 LMICs to estimate annual proportions of children younger than 5 years of age with diarrhoea who received ORS or RHF (or both) on continuous continent-wide surfaces in 2000–17, and aggregated results to policy-relevant administrative units. Additionally, we analysed geographical inequality in coverage across administrative units and estimated the number of diarrhoeal deaths averted by increased coverage over the study period. Uncertainty in the mean coverage estimates was calculated by taking 250 draws from the posterior joint distribution of the model and creating uncertainty intervals (UIs) with the 2·5th and 97·5th percentiles of those 250 draws. Findings: While ORS use among children with diarrhoea increased in some countries from 2000 to 2017, coverage remained below 50% in the majority (62·6%; 12 417 of 19 823) of second administrative-level units and an estimated 6 519 000 children (95% UI 5 254 000–7 733 000) with diarrhoea were not treated with any form of ORT in 2017. Increases in ORS use corresponded with declines in RHF in many locations, resulting in relatively constant overall ORT coverage from 2000 to 2017. Although ORS was uniformly distributed subnationally in some countries, within-country geographical inequalities persisted in others; 11 countries had at least a 50% difference in one of their units compared with the country mean. Increases in ORS use over time were correlated with declines in RHF use and in diarrhoeal mortality in many locations, and an estimated 52 230 diarrhoeal deaths (36 910–68 860) were averted by scaling up of ORS coverage between 2000 and 2017. Finally, we identified key subnational areas in Colombia, Nigeria, and Sudan as examples of where diarrhoeal mortality remains higher than average, while ORS coverage remains lower than average. Interpretation: To our knowledge, this study is the first to produce and map subnational estimates of ORS, RHF, and ORT coverage and attributable child diarrhoeal deaths across LMICs from 2000 to 2017, allowing for tracking progress over time. Our novel results, combined with detailed subnational estimates of diarrhoeal morbidity and mortality, can support subnational needs assessments aimed at furthering policy makers' understanding of within-country disparities. Over 50 years after the discovery that led to this simple, cheap, and life-saving therapy, large gains in reducing mortality could still be made by reducing geographical inequalities in ORS coverage. Funding: Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation.

UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=85088258024&partnerID=8YFLogxK

UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/citedby.url?scp=85088258024&partnerID=8YFLogxK

U2 - 10.1016/S2214-109X(20)30230-8

DO - 10.1016/S2214-109X(20)30230-8

M3 - Article

AN - SCOPUS:85088258024

SN - 2214-109X

VL - 8

SP - e1038-e1060

JO - The Lancet Global Health

JF - The Lancet Global Health

IS - 8

ER -

Wiens KE, Lindstedt PA, Blacker BF, Johnson KB, Baumann MM, Schaeffer LE et al. Mapping geographical inequalities in oral rehydration therapy coverage in low-income and middle-income countries, 2000–17. The Lancet Global Health. 2020 Aug;8(8):e1038-e1060. doi: 10.1016/S2214-109X(20)30230-8

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